2026 Cycle

House Battlegrounds

The competitive districts that will decide House control, anchored by the national Generic Congressional Ballot frame.

Live · 2026 House Control

Democrats favored

R 12.5%

D 87.5%

National Generic Ballot

Generic Congressional Ballot · National

R +2.4

America First Average · Updated daily

Competitive

22 races

Toss-up frames — the races that will decide control.

Pennsylvania · PA-07
EVEN

Mackenzie (R) vs. Democratic nominee

EvenAFP Average

Lehigh Valley perennial battleground.

Pennsylvania · PA-08
EVEN

Bresnahan (R) vs. Democratic nominee

EvenAFP Average

NEPA district Trump carried; freshman defense.

Pennsylvania · PA-10
R

Perry (R) vs. Democratic nominee

PendingAFP Average

Harrisburg-area seat Democrats target every cycle.

Michigan · MI-07
EVEN

Barrett (R) vs. Democratic nominee

EvenAFP Average

Lansing-based toss-up.

Michigan · MI-08
EVEN

James seat (open — running for Governor)

EvenAFP Average

Open battleground seat.

Arizona · AZ-01
EVEN

Schweikert (R) vs. Democratic nominee

EvenAFP Average

Scottsdale-area seat decided by points each cycle.

Arizona · AZ-06
EVEN

Ciscomani (R) vs. Democratic nominee

EvenAFP Average

Tucson-area rematch territory.

Nebraska · NE-02
EVEN

Open seat (Bacon retiring)

EvenAFP Average

Omaha 'blue dot' seat, open for the first time in a decade.

New York · NY-17
EVEN

Lawler seat

EvenAFP Average

Hudson Valley battleground.

New York · NY-19
EVEN

Molinaro-held territory

EvenAFP Average

Upstate toss-up.

California · CA-13
EVEN

Duarte/Gray territory

EvenAFP Average

Central Valley seat decided by hundreds of votes.

California · CA-27
D

Whitesides (D) vs. GOP nominee

PendingAFP Average

North LA County swing seat.

Virginia · VA-02
R

Kiggans (R) vs. Democratic nominee

PendingAFP Average

Hampton Roads military-heavy district.

Wisconsin · WI-03
R

Van Orden (R) vs. Democratic nominee

PendingAFP Average

Western Wisconsin battleground.

Colorado · CO-08
EVEN

Evans (R) vs. Democratic nominee

EvenAFP Average

Colorado's newest and closest district.

Iowa · IA-01
EVEN

Miller-Meeks (R) vs. Democratic nominee

EvenAFP Average

Decided by under a point in consecutive cycles.

Iowa · IA-03
R

Nunn (R) vs. Democratic nominee

PendingAFP Average

Des Moines-area battleground.

Ohio · OH-09
D

Kaptur (D) vs. GOP nominee

PendingAFP Average

Trump-district Democrat; top GOP target.

Ohio · OH-13
EVEN

Sykes (D) vs. GOP nominee

EvenAFP Average

Akron-area toss-up.

Washington · WA-03
D

Gluesenkamp Perez (D) vs. GOP nominee

PendingAFP Average

Trump-district Democrat with crossover brand.

Maine · ME-02
EVEN

Golden seat (open — running for Governor race watch)

EvenAFP Average

Trump-won district; status of incumbency in flux.

North Carolina · NC-01
D

Davis (D) vs. GOP nominee

PendingAFP Average

Northeastern NC seat redrawn toward the GOP.

District list reflects the most competitive seats of the 2026 cycle and updates as retirements, redistricting, and recruitment develop. See our methodology for inclusion criteria.